QPF Day 1 Predicted Rain Totals (click to enlarge)
Click image for more details on FLOOD (WATCH)
Good Sunday afternoon!
Hope you didn’t throw away your ponchos from yesterday’s Derby run. We’re looking at another soggy day across the Commonwealth.
Roads this morning are already soaked and the rain just keeps coming. Areas that already have nearly 2” of rain on the ground, will likely add another 1” to 2” of rain to their weekend totals.
A FLOOD WATCH is still in effect for parts of south central Kentucky until Monday morning.
Cities included in the elevated risk for flooding include Somerset, Liberty, Campbellsville, Jamestown and Bowling Green.
Yesterday Bowling Green set a daily rainfall record, with 1.65” of rain, squeaking by the old record of 1.60” from 1942.
Good Sunday to you! Showers and storms that moved in overnight have already pushed out of the eastern half of the state, but another round of showers is on the way this afternoon.
Widespread rain will pick up around the lunch hour and last through the early evening.
After that we're clearing up to kick off the work week, but before you get too used to it, there are some more changes in the forecast, mainly with another frontal system set to swing through by the end of the week.
Most of the state will be under mostly cloudy skies all day Saturday, as rain and a few rumbles of thunder continue to work into southeastern and central Kentucky through Saturday afternoon.
By the time Sunday afternoon rolls around, many areas will likely have picked up on anywhere from .25" to .50" of rain in central and northern parts of the state. To the south, those rain totals could topple over an inch.
If you have plans to be out and about today, might be a good idea to grab the umbrella before you head out the door!
It's Spring right? Doesn't that normally mean warmer weather? Well, not exactly.
Punxsutawney Phil may have promised us an early Spring, but the truth of the matter is... Mother Nature really doesn't take her cues from a groundhog, as cute as he may be.
So why is it so cold outside?
Some of it has to do with the way the atmosphere is set up and which features are stronger than others at a given time, otherwise known as atmospheric blocking. One of the best indicators of atmospheric blocking is called the Arctic Oscillation (AO).
A wild 48 hours taking shape across the state, starting with St. Patrick's Day tomorrow. We'll go from rain and highs in the 60s in the south... to snow and 30 degree temps in the north!
Tonight rain will continue to filter in from the west. Few isolated showers likely along with a rumble or two of thunder this evening. Rain will make the transition over to snow shortly after 5am Sunday morning.
Snow showers will last into the afternoon Sunday. A Winter Weather Advisory is up for our northern counties through 7pm.
I'm sure many of you are wishing for Spring by now but hold tight... Winter is still holding on for dear life!
Some areas, especially in southeastern Ky. could get anywhere from a trace to 3" of snow by late Wednesday afternoon.
Before the cold front arrives, temperatures Tuesday afternoon will be in the mid 40s with some gusts up to 20 mph as it passes.
By the way, if you haven't started the countdown yet, official Spring begins March 20th.. that's only 16 days away! But for those of you who can't wait that long, "meteorological" Spring started March 1st... so take that for what you will.
West Liberty Tornado, Category EF-3, wind speed reached from 136mph to 165mph. By Kevin Adkins
Many Kentuckians will likely remember where they were that day, one year ago today. The day 24 people lost their lives across the state in one of the worst tornado outbreaks in Kentucky history.
I didn't live in Kentucky last March. I was in Texas. But my eyes were glued to the live streams, watching as tornado warning after tornado warning was issued for Lexington and the surrounding area, where my now fiance lived. I remember watching the models and storm prediction center outlooks days before, knowing it was going to be a dangerous day, the kind of day where lives were on the line.
In the end, it would be named the worst outbreak in over two decades. Nearly 300 tornado warnings were issued between Friday, March 2nd and the following morning. When it was all said and done, 36 people had lost their lives across five states.
Peopled were forced to search the rubble of what used to be everything they knew, for mementos, family heirlooms, and sometimes even loved ones. The stories that came from that day were heartbreaking.
Severe storms swept through the Commonwealth early this morning, carrying damaging winds up to 60mph and even the threat of tornadoes. So far NWS officials have confirmed three tornadoes did touch down in the state, one partially destroying a mobile home.
The biggest tornado from Wednesday morning's severe storms touched down in Warren county, just northeast of Bowling Green.
The twister was rated as an EF-2, with wind speeds between 120-125mph. A NWS survey team is still investigating the damage along with emergency management officials.
SPC Outlook for Wednesday. (YELLOW - General Risk. BROWN - Slight Risk)
SPC Outlook for Tuesday
Highs in the upper 60s/low 70s and severe storms? Sounds like Spring right? That's what we could be dealing with through Midweek.
Much of the state could be dealing with the threat for strong to severe thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, as a cold front swings through. The main threat with storms that approach severe levels will be damaging wind gusts, small hail, and even an isolated tornado.
While the most significant risk for an outbreak, especially tornadoes, will stay to the south (MS, AK, LA), we'll still need to keep one eye on the radar and sleep with weather radios next to the bed.